Musalia Mudavadi's 'Earthquake' and Political Implications Ahead of August 9 Polls

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Musalia Mudavadi's 'Earthquake' and Political Implications Ahead of August 9 Polls

Politics can sometimes be impulsive and extremely capricious especially when campaigns intensify ahead of polls.

Political juggernauts that decimate opponents are pulled during such critical moments.

In the same measure, blunders and political missteps that are hard, if at all possible to recover from, happen at this stage. 

On Sunday, January 23, Amani National Congress (ANC) Party Leader Musalia Mudavadi chose to disrupt the political landscape by dumping the One Kenya Alliance (OKA) for a new formation with Deputy President William Ruto's United Democratic Movement (UDA). 

The move had an instant impact on OKA which political analysts consider a dead faction.

This was after two OKA principals, Stephen Kalonzo Musyoka (Wiper) and Gideon Moi (KANU), stormed out of the Mudavadi's event after "sensing mischief" in the ANC leader's game plan. 

The move by Mudavadi and Wetang'ula complicates Raila Odinga's arithmetic in Western Kenya and may force him to pull other political nukes to wade off the rising popularity of Ruto in the region.

Western has for a long time been behind Raila's presidential bid although Ruto has lately been trying to make inroads and claim a share of the nearly 2 million votes. 

Political analyst Dismas Mokua opines that the DP's partnership with Mudavadi and Wetang'ula would boost his ratings in Western Kenya and dwindle Raila's.

"For Raila to win the August election he must maintain the NASA voting bloc (of 2017) where he is the presidential support and gets unlimited support from Kalonzo Musyoka, Mudavadi and Wetangula. The exit of the two (Mudavadi and Wetangula) complicates Western Kenya votes," said Mokua. 





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